Will Blockchains Upend the Home Mortgage Market?
March 8, 2018
The answer to that question is “yes”, because
blockchains will reduce the costs and risks of originating
mortgages, servicing them, consolidating them into
securities, and transferring ownership of individual
mortgages and mortgage securities. The difficult question is
how long it will take, since the forces that will array
themselves against mortgage-related blockchains are
formidable.
The block part of a blockchain is a set of accounts
connected to a transaction, including all assets and
liabilities, which are recorded electronically, and to which
only selected parties have access, though in some cases this
could be the public. Viewing a single mortgage-financed home
purchase as a block, the following parties may be involved:
borrower, third-party property investor, originating lender,
future servicer, home seller, Realtor, appraiser, title
company, mortgage insurer, mortgage purchaser, Fannie Mae,
Freddie Mac, FHA, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
Under existing arrangements, each entity involved
in the transaction keeps its own records and is in contact
with only those participants with which it deals directly --
for example, the appraiser is in contact with the lender. If
the home purchase is a block, in contrast, all the
information contributed by all the participants becomes part
of the block. There is now one final error-free and
tamper-proof source of information about the transaction
instead of multiple sources scattered in the files and
computers of the individual participants. All participants
sign off on the validity of the information in the block,
and they may be the only ones who have access to that
information.
The chain part of a blockchain could be the linkage
to another transaction in the same property, which would be
a small chain. Alternatively, or in addition since a block
can be in more than one chain, the chain could consist of
blocks of other mortgage-financed purchase transactions
where the associated mortgages are intended for sale to a
particular buyer, such as Fannie Mae. This would be a much
larger chain. A block might also consist of purchase
transactions on which the servicing of the associated
mortgage will be offered to prospective servicers. The
design options are wide open.
What are the benefits of blockchain? Information
from multiple sources is made available to every participant
but has to be entered only once. This eliminates duplication
of effort, and the delays and errors that inevitably result
from it. With all participants on the same page all the
time, processing time is lower. The more participants there
are in the transaction, the greater the benefit, which is
why the home mortgage market is a prime candidate. The other
side of that coin, however, is that more participants mean
more potential sources of resistance to participation.
A mortgage blockchain also has substantial
potential for improving the quality of decisions by
incorporating decision aids, sometimes called “smart
contracts”, into the block. A block with the appropriate
decision aids could attract borrowers by helping them decide
how much to put down, what kind of mortgage to select, and
the combination of interest rate and points that best meets
their needs.
Another potential benefit of mortgage blockchains
is the impetus they may provide to increased productivity in
those segments of the market where it has lagged. This
includes property appraisals, ownership transfers, and the
recording and retrieval of information on property features,
ownership and liens. In the blockchains that emerge in
future years, these functions will look very different,
though in the short –term they constitute barriers that need
to be overcome.
What has this to do with bitcoin? The connection is
that the creator of bitcoin used the blockchain as a device
for creating a self-regulating means of payment that had
nothing to do with government. The bitcoin experience led
others to realize that the blockchain device had many other
possible uses. In particular, it had the potential for
making complicated market structures, such as the home
mortgage market, more efficient.
This does not mean that developers of mortgage
blockchains will ignore the potential for creating means of
payment on the side. Indeed, the two firms that have begun
developing mortgage blockchains are both creating means of
payment, called “tokens”, in the process. It’s tempting to
describe this as “printing the money you need to start a new
business”, but the developers do need a compelling story to
make their tokens acceptable. The bitcoin story is that the
total number of bitcoin that can be produced is limited. I
will discuss the stories connected to the two new
mortgage-related blockchains in another article.
