A New Approach to Mortgage Design
For decades,
the principal motivation driving home mortgage design was to
increase affordability. The logic was that homeownership was
desirable, and the more affordable mortgages became the
higher would be the homeownership rate. As a result, the
typical mortgage, which had a down payment of 40% and a term
of 10 years in the 1920s, today has 5% down and a 30-year
term.
But the winds are now blowing in a different direction.
With people living longer and fewer covered by defined
benefit pension plans, entering retirement with a loan
balance and a mandatory monthly payment is a prescription
for trouble. Viewed from this standpoint, the prevailing
mortgage types designed to facilitate home ownership are
problematic because they take so long to pay off. A search
is on for ways to accelerate the repayment process.
One intriguing approach has been suggested by Wayne
Passmore and Alexander H. von Haften, who are economists at
the Federal Reserve Board, in a working paper “Financing
Affordable and Sustainable Homeownership With Fixed-COFI
Mortgages”. Their central idea for
encouraging more rapid equity growth is to trade off the
borrower’s right to refinance when interest rates fall,
which imposes a heavy cost on lenders, for larger principal
payments.
With prepayment penalties abolished, borrowers are free
to take advantage of declining interest rates to refinance.
However, the lower rates obtained by refinancing do not
accelerate the growth of borrower equity. Quite the
opposite, while most refinancing borrowers reduce their
monthly payment, they increase their loan balance.
The “Limited Cash out Refinance” option of Fannie Mae,
Freddie Mac and FHA allows borrowers to finance their
closing costs and receive up to $2000 cash without paying
the penalty associated with cash-out refinancing.
Passmore and von Haften would offer borrowers faster
balance reduction in place of the lower payments they obtain
through refinancing. They would do this by creating a dual
instrument, which is fixed-rate to the borrower (an FRM) but
adjustable rate to the lender (an ARM). Since the interest
rate on the ARM is generally lower, the payment made by the
borrower exceeds the payment remitted to the lender, and the
surplus is available to pay down the FRM balance.
The complication in this proposal is that ARMs may be
subject to an interest rate spike, at which point the ARM
payment will exceed the FRM payment. If previous surpluses
were used to pay down the FRM loan balance, they will not be
available to make the larger ARM payment required by a rate
spike. Hence, the surpluses are placed in a reserve account
for some period before being withdrawn to pay down the FRM
balance. In response to my question about when this happens,
Passmore said that the rules “are decided by a contract
between a homeowner and lender.” (Letter to me from
Passmore).
If the high-rate period lasts long enough, the reserves
could be exhausted and the only way to avoid default on the
ARM payment would be to increase the loan balance on the FRM
– negative amortization, which would be the opposite of the
program’s objective. The probability of this occurring is
very low but it is not zero. In his letter to me, Passmore
says “we do not allow negative amortization, and instead
focus on the lender purchasing insurance against this
possibility.”
An alternative approach avoids the complications
introduced by the need to deal with an interest rate spike.
Under this approach, which focuses solely on
the FRM, the lender makes a principal payment expressed as a
percent of the loan balance in exchange for the borrower
relinquishing the right to refinance. The monthly payment is
not affected. For example, assume the lender offering a
30-year FRM at 3.75% and zero points on January 8 is willing
to pay 1% of the loan balance every month in exchange for
elimination of the borrower’s right to refinance. In that
case, the extra principal payments would cut the loan term
to 25 years and increase the borrower’s equity after 24
months by 2%.
Lenders should be willing to make even larger payments to principal if the loan rate increases correspondingly. For example, the lender willing to pay 1% on a 3.75% FRM should be willing to pay 3% on a 5.75% FRM. This extra payment would shorten the term to less than 20 years and increase borrower equity after 24 months by 5%. The downside would be a 40% increase in the monthly payment.
The figures cited in the two paragraphs above are drawn
from a spreadsheet on my web site,
Extra Payments on Monthly Payment Fixed-Rate
Mortgages.
