Refinancing in a Rising-Rate/Rising-Property-Value Market
With interest rates no longer at rock-bottom levels, few borrowers still have an opportunity to profit by refinancing into a lower interest rate. However, the escalation of house prices in many areas raises the possibility of profitable refinances directed to lowering other costs.
- Borrowers who purchased mortgage insurance when they took out their current mortgage may now have enough equity in their house that they can refinance into a mortgage that will not require mortgage insurance.
- Similarly, borrowers who took out a pricey second mortgage in order to avoid mortgage insurance can refinance into a larger first mortgage.
- Borrowers with substantial amounts of high-interest
short-term debt may now have enough equity to pay it off with
proceeds from a cash-out refinance.
This article is
limited to refinancing designed to eliminate mortgage insurance.
When
Refinancing That Eliminates Mortgage Insurance Pays:
It pays if the monthly premiums that are eliminated exceed the
cost of refinancing plus the higher interest cost of the new mortgage
over its future life. In making this comparison, the monthly premiums
that are eliminated should be measured over the period until insurance
on the existing mortgage is terminated. When that can happen depends on
the termination rules to which the mortgage is subject. There are two
sets of rules.
Federal
Rules Applicable to All Home Mortgages:
Borrowers can request their lender to terminate their insurance when
their loan balance reaches 80% of the original property value – the
value when the loan was originated. For example, a 30-year fixed-rate
loan at 3.5% that was 95% of property value at origination will hit the
80% mark in 88 months. If the mortgage is now 4 years old, the savings
from refinancing it would consist of the premiums over 88 – 48 = 40
months. The older the loan, the smaller the potential saving.
If the borrower
fails to request termination at 80%, the insurance will terminate
automatically at 78%, or 10 months later. The maximum possible saving in
that case would be 50 months of premiums.
Fannie
Mae/Freddie Mac Rules: If the loan was
originated under Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac guidelines, termination is
based on current appraised value rather than original value. The minimum
period is 2 years if the current loan-to-value ratio is 75% or less, 5
years if the ratio is 80% or less. The borrower must request
termination and pay for an appraisal.
If the house has
appreciated in value, these rules allow mortgage insurance to be
terminated earlier than the general rule, reducing the potential benefit
from refinancing. For example, if the home referred to above
appreciates by 4% a year, the loan balance will hit 80% of current value
after only 35 months rather than 88 months. Since the loan is 4 years
old, the insurance should already have been terminated.
In sum, the savings
in insurance premiums from refinancing Fannie/Freddie loans is small,
and especially so in areas that have experienced marked house price
increases. Of course, there is the proviso that borrowers exercise their
right to have the insurance terminated. Some don’t do it because of the
hassle and the appraisal cost, but getting rid of the insurance by
refinancing is much more of a hassle and the costs are much higher.
Cost of
Refinancing: The cost to which the saving in
insurance premiums should be compared consists of upfront origination
costs and higher interest cost over the future life of the new mortgage.
The interest cost depends not only on the difference between the rate on
the old and the new mortgage, but also on how long the new mortgage will
be in force. For most borrowers, this is a guess with a large margin of
error.
Concluding Comment: The first priority for
borrowers paying for mortgage insurance is to determine whether they can
get it terminated. If they can’t, they can use my calculator 3a to see
if they will benefit from refinancing. They can find the origination
costs and interest rate on a new mortgage, which the calculator needs,
by going to the “Shop Your Loan” page on my site.
